Up until very recently in terms of the modern era of American history, most cases of civil unrest have featured isolated cases (and by isolated we mean one or several cities), and have featured statistically mostly minority populations. The causes of past civil unrest are not what we are analyzing here; rather we are predicting a new form of civil unrest that most likely will result in some form of culture / class full-scale war. Something of a new version of an American Revolution. Please note that chronologically, while the periods of time that civil unrest has lasted for in America varies by individual incident, there has not been a large-scale breakdown in order in the United states in what we at ArcLight have come to call the “speed of information age.” According to ArcLight data, most of the riots have been products of court cases or specific, easily identifiable groups expressing overall displeasure with law enforcement.
Occupy Oakland Riot. Photo: CrazyReds.com
Most Americans are familiar with the LA Riots footage and those who are a bit older will also probably remember the Watts riots. Damage has been mostly limited to inner city areas and most of the uprising only consisted of looting local businesses in an opportunistic manner. It has been quite some time, perhaps excluding the war protests of the 1960′s, since there has been a truly unified group that has risen up in any sort of force. Of course, many will want to point to the Occupy crowd, though for the most part they have been a hodge podge of anarchists, climate change / environmental activists, globalists and a multitude of other loosely linked causes. For many that show up at those events, largely made up of youth and “professional protesters,” [often recruited through Craig's List and other sources] the riots that inevitably ensue are almost an expected part of daily activities. Usually frustrated cops acting out of simply having enough of the nonsense are recorded for the “police brutality” reels to be aired on the Internet almost instantly.
Looking at the situation from law enforcement we must realize that officers are humans and have emotions and tempers. We at ArcLight always find it interesting that the film editing of these incidents always seems to leave out the half hour of torment leading up to an officer finally losing his cool. We at ArcLight often find it amusing to compare such actions to the two children in the back seat of a car playing the “I’m not touching you” game. Is the officer totally wrong for finally losing his cool? We think not. Protesting has almost become a version of extreme sport in America, so when the police start to win a bit, of course the the demonstrators will claim the media hyped police brutality.
These arguments aside, the scenario we see in terms of a national level of civil unrest will look nothing like anything the United States has ever seen before. In fact, we feel as though the situation we are about to describe will occur all over the world in some form or another according to the same script.
What happens when upper middle class, middle class, and working class law-abiding Americans who are not crime prone, not violence prone, and who have played the “good little soldier” in terms of being “good Americans” finally “lose it”?
The answer is simple by every statistical measurement of ArcLight’s proprietary data: A new version of so-called civil uprising.
Keep in mind that the mobs will not be entirely consistent of those who are easily identified as “leftist” or “cookey.” Rather, the same cops that would normally be containing said Occupy type movements will be part of the mob. We at the ArcLight institute feel that this is a game changing dynamic that the United States has never seen before. In fact, in previous pieces we have outlined the potential role state and local law enforcement will play in what we feel will be a coming class/civil/culture war.
ArcLight data suggests that there are more than a few states and plenty of municipalities whose pension funds are running dry. As the income inequality gap continues to widen in America, what motivation do officers have in the event of massive civil unrest to show up to work? For instance, our imaginary officer has a family at home that we are sure he will be concerned about protecting. He will also have not been paid for some time and possibly just found out that his pension that was promised to him for all his hard years of work is not happening. Exactly what then makes that officer want to perform his duties? Another question one must ask is what makes that officer NOT want to be on the other side of the mob?
Spanish Middle Class Rioters. Photo: pinoyexchange.com
Will this be the case in every state of municipality? ArcLight data suggests most likely not. However, we feel that the situation that we described will be the rule rather than the exception. Additionally, while officers may have short tempers with privileged college kids rioting now they have a story to tell. What happens when said officer’s neighbors show up, friends show up, and they realize that they are all in the same metaphorical boat so to speak? What happens when the mobs start to look more like the cops in terms of demographics and social status than say a mob of over privileged college kids? The entire dynamic of civil unrest changes. As a matter of fact, one of the most striking details that the ArcLight institute has uncovered is the propensity for a middle class, working class, upper middle class civil revolt to be far more organized than anything than we have seen thus far in America. Most notably because there will be something of a far higher level of education amongst the participants, and also a very common overall driving cause. Let us also keep in mind that these would be the members of the same generation that have already been economically burned, foreclosed upon, watched their 401k’s get vaporized, etc. ArcLight statistical and non linear data shows that overall quality of living and citizen sentiment is more volatile than even in the 1960′s counter culture period.
In addition to being economically repressed with wage stagnation, lack of opportunities, and an increasingly invasive government, these are also the same individuals that have been dealing with a number of other “quiet boil” issues. Political correctness, affirmative action, a culturally more “diverse” society, foreign workers, increased taxation, etc. All issues that for the most part have irritated and aggravated the majority of Americans who have thanks to reasons we will not get into in this piece, have essentially become the silent majority — Dinner Table Revolutionaries — as we have come to call them. They represent the average repressed-anger infused American citizen that would have inevitably reached a breaking point. Let us also keep in mind that the group that we are talking about here has not had a chance to vent really since the war of 1812 (sarcasm intended). That being said, we feel that rather than entirely being targeters of opportunity as we have see with store looting and such, the group or demographic that we are now speaking about, being more educated, will seek out specific causes or groups of “opposition.” Once again, because a great deal of the anger that these citizens have repressed for so long is now slowly boiling to the surface, in Part 2 of this analysis, we are going to cover some interesting phenomenon that ArcLight has discovered regarding demographics and behavior.
Once again we do feel that the analysis we are making here is unusually important as the majority of what this demographic represents in terms of violence, behavior and so forth is entirely new.
Originally published by The ArcLight Institute. Used by permission. Minor stylistic and clarification edits were made without altering the author’s intent or ideas.